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US Presidential Election Odds: Latest 2024 Election Odds & Predictions
Since September 2023, Donald Trump (now -110) has had the best odds to win the 2024 Presidential Election per bet365, ahead of President Joe Biden (+175) and others. Although sportsbooks in New York do not allow political betting, here's the latest 2024 election odds and predictions following Trump's victory at the Iowa Caucus.
Latest US Presidential Election Odds (Dec. 2023)
Here are the latest odds along with an implied probability (%) to win the 2024 Presidential Election.
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NOTE: Odds are from bet365 in a legal market. Percentages are predictions based on fair implied probability. Presidential Election odds are not available with New York sports betting apps, Vegas casinos or any regulated US sportsbooks.
Table of Contents
2024 Election Odds: Longshot Presidential Candidates
Here are some potential Presidential candidates who don't have the best odds, but still have at least a small chance to win the 2024 election according to most oddsmakers.
NOTE: Sportsbooks such as FanDuel NY, and sportsbooks from all other states still do not offer election betting, or any type of political odds.
2024 Election Odds: Latest Updates
- 📆 January 21: Ron DeSantis drops out of the race and endorses Donald Trump.
- 📆 January 15: Trump wins the Iowa Caucus over Ron DeSantis. Vivek Ramaswamy drops out.
- 📆 December 4: Nikki Haley's odds significantly improve, overtaking Gavin Newsom on the oddsboard.
- 📆 November 6: Donald Trump's odds improved from +150 to +137. For Democratic candidates, Joe Biden's odds dropped from +175 to +200, and Gavin Newsom's odds improved to +600.
- 📆 November 2: Nikki Haley moves to the No. 4 spot for 2024 Presidential Election odds, while Trump (+150) and Biden (+175) remain the same.
- 📆 October 30: Joe Biden's odds to win the 2024 election improve to +175, after being +187 for over two weeks.
- 📆 October 27: As we near the end of October, Trump remains the favorite to win the 2024 Presidential Election, with +150 odds. Joe Biden remains a close second, with +187 odds, while the odds for other top candidates continue to fluctuate between +800 and +3300.
- 📆 October 16: Nearly a month after the 2024 election odds shifted in Donald Trump's favor, the latest Presidential Election odds from bet365 still have Trump (+150) as the betting favorite, slightly ahead of current President Joe Biden (+187).
- 📆 October 9: While Donald Trump's odds to win the 2024 Election remained the same at +150, Joe Biden's odds improved to +187 after being +200 for over a week.
- 📆 October 5: Trump and Biden's odds haven't changed much, but there has been some movement from other candidates. Michelle Obama has jumped to the No. 4 spot, while Ron DeSantis and Vivek Ramaswamy have seen their 2024 election odds drop a few spots among Presidential candidates.
- 📆 October 2: Former President Donald Trump's odds to win the election improved over the weekend, as Trump is now +150 to become the next President per bet365. Joe Biden's odds make him the most likely opponent, as the current President has +200 odds to remain in office for a second term.
- 📆 September 27: While the 2024 Presidential Election odds for Joe Biden and others have not changed since last week, Donald Trump's odds to win the Republican Nomination just got better. Trump is now -334 to become the Republican Nominee per bet365, while odds for Ron DeSantis went from +550 to +700.
- 📆 September 21: According to recent odds from bet365 and others, Donald Trump is now the betting favorite to win the 2024 Presidential Election. The latest odds have Trump at +175, while Joe Biden's odds are +200.
*NOTE: While you cannot place wagers on the election, there are several New York sportsbook promos available. such as the following offer from BetRivers:
2024 US Election Odds: Month-by-Month
Here's a visual representation of how the odds for the Top 5 US Presidential election candidates have changed since January 2022.
As pictured above, the 2024 election odds took an interesting in twist in December of 2022 when Ron DeSantis became the favorite among multiple oddsmakers. Since then, however, Donald Trump and Joe Biden have reclaimed the Top 2 spots, making a repeat of the 2020 Presidential Election very likely.
2024 Presidential Election Odds: Republican Nominee
Here are the top 3 candidates to win the Republican Nomination and run for President in the 2024 election, and their latest odds from bet365.
2024 Republican Nomination Candidates
Here are some more details on the current and past Republican candidates that made a run in the 2024 Presidential Election, including former President Donald Trump, current Florida Governor Ron DeSantis and others.
Donald Trump - Former President (2016-2020)
Despite legal woes, former United States President Donald Trump has remained in the Top 2 when it comes to odds to win the 2024 Presidential Election odds. No matter the news cycle, Trump seems to inevitably rise. In the Republican Nomination odds, he has moved comfortably ahead of Haley.
Nikki Haley - Former South Carolina Governor
Nikki Haley’s 2024 Presidential Election odds currently rank second among all Republican candidates, though they are largely insurmountable. Haley, America’s former UN ambassador, has said that “sometimes it takes a woman” in response to questions of how the GOP can reclaim the White House. Haley also has substantial leadership experience as the governor of South Carolina from 2011-17.
Ron DeSantis - Current Florida Governor
Ron DeSantis’ 2024 Presidential Election odds plummeted in late 2023 before officially dropping out in mid-January. It was a long and steady fall for the man who once was favored to win it all. DeSantis' presidential future though shouldn't be written off in the years to come, as he has been embraced for not following the herd. He is also considered a Trumpian figure for the next generation, which means he is a viable two-term candidate down the line. And DeSantis also could attract the centrist voters in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin that Donald Trump lost in 2020. The problem for DeSantis, though, is that his campaign elicited a collective yawn, and he failed to outlast Nikki Haley as Trump's most significant Republican challenger.
2024 Presidential Election Odds: Democratic Nominee
Here are the top 3 candidates to win the Democratic Nomination and run for President in the 2024 election, and their latest odds from bet365.
2024 Democratic Nomination Candidates
Here are some more details on the current Democratic candidates who could run for the 2024 Presidential Election, including President Joe Biden, California Governor Gavin Newsom and others.
Joe Biden - Current U.S. President
Across most oddsmakers between early-2021 and mid-2023, Joe Biden was consistently the favorite to win, with the best 2024 Presidential Election odds. This has changed as of late, however, as former President Donald Trump is now the election betting favorite. It appears Biden, who will be nearly 82 years old when voters head to the polls in November 2024, now has some ground to gain to reclaim confidence from oddsmakers.
Gavin Newsom - California Governor
Gavin Newsom’s 2024 Presidential Election odds have improved over the last several months. The Californian is wrapping up his first term as governor and is a popular figure. He beat Brian Dahle handily in the 2022 California gubernatorial election to shore up his support. He has endorsed Biden and said that he would not run. Commitments in politics are unbreakable, right?
Robert F. Kennedy Jr - Attorney & Political Candidate
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s 2024 Presidential Election odds are improving as of late. He has carved a niche and is now third among all candidates. On April 19, the environmental attorney (University of Virginia) announced he would challenge Biden for the Democratic nomination. He is the son of former US Attorney General Robert F. Kennedy, who ran for president in 1968 and was killed that June. In March, he made headlines by announcing he would consider Jets QB Aaron Rodgers as his running mate...
Michelle Obama - Former FLOTUS
Michelle Obama’s 2024 Presidential Election odds have climbed as of late. The former First Lady never ruled out running for president herself, and certainly would gain plenty of Democratic supporters. But can Obama capture the center ground as her husband did before her? Perhaps. But pitching Obama against Trump could be a risky strategy for the Dems, as Trump’s followers very much dislike the Obamas.
Kamala Harris - Current U.S. Vice President
Kamala Harris odds to win the 2024 Presidential Election are very low compared to other candidates. The former Senator made some headlines recently attacking DeSantis and Florida. Harris could be on the ticket with Biden again as VP.
Hillary Clinton - Former FLOTUS & Secretary of State
Hillary Clinton’s odds to win the 2024 Presidential Election are +8000, meaning it is very unlikely she will win the election.
Non-Political US Presidential Election Odds & Candidates
When Trump first flirted with the idea of being president in 2013, plenty of people laughed it off as a publicity stunt. But naysayers of the celebrity businessman didn’t realize the extent of his emerging popularity.
It’s no surprise, then, that election betting sites are taking odds on other celebrity presidents. While sportsbooks such as BetRivers NY and all other legal US operators are not offering Presidential Election odds, here are some of the longshot odds from bet365 and their overseas offerings.
Tucker Carlson - Political Journalist & Pundit
Tucker Carlson's 2024 Presidential Election odds are +15000. The well-known political commenter has been discussed as a potential candidate to make the switch from entertainment to politics, but there has been nothing official out of his camp to suggest he would run in 2024. Carlson is popular among Republican voters, though, so should he consider a run at any political office, expect him to garner plenty of attention.
Elon Musk - Entrepreneur
Some bookmakers in Europe price Elon Musk at +20000 to win the 2024 Presidential Election. But what they don’t seem to realize – or don't care to – is that Musk was born in South Africa, and only US-born citizens can run for president. He's ineligible.
Joe Rogan - Podcaster, Broadcaster, Comedian
Joe Rogan’s 2024 Presidential Election odds are +50000. The presenter and podcaster was also tipped to run in 2020 due to the success of the Joe Rogan Experience. But his position within the GOP is more as commentator and cheerleader, rather than all-in politician. Rogan recently appeared to back DeSantis for president in 2024, saying “what he's done for Florida is admirable."
2024 Presidential Election Predictions
The race for the White House in 2024 is going to be close. On one side we have Donald Trump, Nikki Haley and Ron DeSantis. The former president holds great power over the Republican party, the right-wing media and his supporters. Trump, who is fighting multiple indictments, now has the best odds to win the election, ahead of surging Haley, stagnant DeSantis, and all Democratic candidates.
Where Trump is a polarizer, DeSantis could draw the GOP closer to the center ground and collect votes in the rust belt and among Hispanic voters. Meanwhile, the Democrats have a decision to make. Do they stick with Biden and go all-in on a second term? It seems odd to get rid of him as his odds are strong. Could a new figure lead the party and take on the GOP in a fresh campaign? Would that be Robert F. Kennedy or Gavin Newsom?
There is a lot of soul searching going on in Democratic camps. Harris, Newsom, Buttigieg, Whitmer, Obama, Clinton. It’s a strange make-up of old names and new figures who have yet to forge their political reputations.
Will Joe Biden Win in 2024?
President Joe Biden and Donald Trump have had similar odds for the last few months, but several questions remain. It's difficult to predict who will win the 2024 Presidential Election, and at this point, the chances are comparable to playing blackjack or roulette with online casinos in New York or other states.
Can Biden stay healthy? Can any legal issue derail Trump? Can any other candidates position themselves to enter the mix? Only time will tell.
Who Will Be the Republican Nominee?
Similar to Biden's questions, there are several looming questions among the Republican party.
Can Haley continue her rapid rise? Can DeSantis come back to life? It seems unlikely, but there still is a lot of time left.
Will There Be a New Democratic Nominee?
Some political pundits believe President Joe Biden cannot defeat former President Donald Trump in the 2024 election, and this has some wondering if there will be a new Democratic nominee. With Gavin Newsom's odds increasing, he seems to be the most likely replacement.
Other Predictions For The Presidential Election In 2024
The 2024 presidential election can take a turn at any moment. The varying odds indicate that the margin for error is slim. President Biden and former president Trump are the top two candidates, but Nikki Haley, Gavin Newsom and Ron DeSantis could challenge the current leaders. The political experience of DeSantis and Newsom makes them viable options as president and intriguing candidates for voters.
2024 Presidential Election: Key Dates
Here are some key upcoming dates ahead of the 2024 Presidential Election:
- March 5, 2024: Super Tuesday
- July 15, 2024: Republican National Convention begins
- August 19, 2024: Democratic National Convention begins
- November 5, 2024: Election Day
Presidential Election Betting Odds Explained
Presidential election odds are based on the likelihood of the election outcome from a gambling operator. The 2024 US Election odds above are listed in American odds with a plus-sign (+) and a number following, although Las Vegas and other sportsbooks nationwide do not offer political wagering.
The number after the plus-sign (+) is the amount a bettor would win on a $100 wager. For example, if a Presidential candidate has +200 odds, and a bettor wagers $100, the bettor would win $200 and net $300 if the candidate were to win the election.
What is bet365?
A leader in the online gambling and sports betting industry for over 20 years, bet365 is one of the most well-known brands across Europe, Australia and other parts of the world. While their US Election odds are not available in America, they are legal to bet on in other countries.
US Presidential Election Odds FAQs
Joe Biden officially announced his run in the 2024 Presidential Election for the Democrats. Additional Democratic Nominee candidates include Gavin Newsom, Robert F. Kennedy, Michelle Obama and Kamala Harris. As of December 2024, a Biden-Harris re-run is likely for the Democrats.
President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump remain the top 2 favorites to win the election by a wide margin. Nikki Haley, Attorney Robert F. Kennedy Jr., and California Gov. Gavin Newsom are also in the mix, but none have 2024 Presidential Election odds as strong as Joe Biden and Trump. Ron DeSantis has dropped out.
No, Donald Trump has not yet announced a vice president running mate for the 2024 Presidential Election. Georgia Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene appeared at a number of Trump rallies in the fall of 2022, sparking speculation that she is on the short list for the former president if he runs again, but it's still unsure.
Elon Musk's 2024 Presidential Election odds are listed at Ladbrokes at 200-to-1 odds (0.5% chance), but this is one of the few times you can guarantee that a longshot Presidential Election pick will not pay off. The billionaire SpaceX-Tesla-Twitter force was born in South Africa and is not eligible to run.
The big candidates to run for president from the Republican side are Former President Donald Trump and former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley. Ron DeSantis has dropped out of the race.
The 2024 United States Presidential Election will take place on Tuesday, November 5. 2024 Presidential Election odds are available now. Current President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump currently have the best odds to win the election.
American citizens can either vote on the day of the 2024 US Presidential Election (Tuesday, November 5, 2024), vote in advance, or request mail-in ballots.
Joe Biden is 80 years old. He was born Nov. 20, 1942. He will be 82 two weeks after the 2024 election, making it one of the more interesting Presidential elections in recent history. Joe Biden's odds have remained in the Top 2 since he became President.
No. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez will be 34 at the time of the 2024 US Presidential Election, and you must be 35 to be President of the United States. The earliest Ocasio-Cortez could run for president is the 2028 election.
Yes, and Former President Donald Trump's odds are currently the best betting odds among all Presidential candidates. Trump announced on November 15, 2022 that he officially was in the running to become the 47th President of the United States, so 2024 will be the 3rd time he has run in Presidential elections.
Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson hasn’t said he will run for president in 2024, and it remains very unlikely he will involved in the 2024 Presidential Election. His 2024 election odds have plummeted as of late, and he is one of several unlikely longshot candidates.
Possibly, but very unlikely. There is no confirmation yet that Hillary Clinton will run again in the Presidential Election in 2024. While she has also not ruled it out, her Presidential Election odds indicate she likely does not have a good chance to win.
Democratic candidate Robert Kennedy Jr. has said he would consider Jets QB Aaron Rodgers as his running mate, though Rodgers quickly came under fire for some of his controversial statements over the years.
Cited by leading media organizations, such as:
