Buffalo Bills Playoff Chances: Tracking the Bills Playoff Picture After Free Agency

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Fact Checked by Shannon Lane

  • The Buffalo Bills finished last season 13-4, winning the AFC East.
  • The Bills lost in the AFC Championship to the Chiefs.
  • Buffalo has retained its top talent and added more talent to its roster this offseason.

The Bills' playoff chances are unavailable, but we expect odds to be strong. Their focus this offseason was to retain their most talented players and add key players to lead Buffalo to another winning season, which they have done. Buffalo retained players such as RB Ty Johnson and S Damar Hamlin while adding explosive players such as DE Joey Bosa and WR Josh Palmer.

What are the Bills Playoff Chances?

The Bills' playoff chances are not available yet, but they are the favorite to win the AFC East with -270 odds, according to DraftKings Sportsbook New York.

πŸ”₯ Bills Playoff ChancesTBA
🚫 Bills Miss PlayoffsTBA
⭐️ Bills Win AFC East72.9% chance (-270)
πŸ† Bills Win AFC22.2% chance (+350)
πŸ‘‘ Bills Win Super Bowl12.5% (+700)
βœ… Odds Last VerifiedApril 14, 2025

To calculate those percentages, I converted the odds into an implied probability. Soon, each NFL team will have odds of making or missing the playoffs, which converts to an implied probability of making or missing the playoffs.

The Buffalo Bills finished the 2024-25 season with a 13-4 record and the AFC East title. Their Super Bowl dreams were cut short after losing the AFC Championship to the Kansas City Chiefs. QB Josh Allen worked away with his first MVP, and the Bills have spent much of their offseason retaining key players and building a roster that will lead Buffalo to its first Super Bowl win. 

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Bills Schedule and Betting Lines

The Bills' schedule won't be fully released until May 2025. For now, check out the home and away opponents for Buffalo next season.

Home Opponents:

  • Baltimore Ravens
  • Cincinnati Bengals
  • Kansas City Chiefs
  • Miami Dolphins
  • New England Patriots
  • New Orleans Saints
  • New York Jets
  • Philadelphia Eagles
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Away Opponents:

  • Atlanta Falcons
  • Carolina Panthers
  • Cleveland Browns
  • Houston Texans
  • Miami Dolphins
  • New England Patriots
  • New York Jets
  • Pittsburgh Steelers

Bills Playoff Chances: Key Updates April 2025

The Bills have had a successful offseason, ranking as one of the most improved rosters by ESPN. Here is all of the latest news and developments regarding the Buffalo Bills that could impact their Super Bowl chances:

  • πŸ“… March 17, 2025: RB Ty Johnson signs with the Bills. 
  • πŸ“… March 15, 2025: The Bills sign ILB Michael Hoecht, WR Laviska Shenault Jr. and DE Larry Ogunjobi.
  • πŸ“… March 14, 2025: Buffalo signs CB Dane Jackson and G Kendrick Green.
  • πŸ“… March 13, 2025: The Bills sign WR Laviska Shenault.
  • πŸ“… March 12, 2025:  The Bills sign DE Joey Bosa and WR Josh Palmer. 
  • πŸ“… March 12, 2025: Buffalo re-signs S Damar Hamlin and signs DE Michael Hoecht, DT Larry Ogunjobi and S Darrick Forres
  • πŸ“… March 12, 2025: The Bills trade  CB Kaiir Elam and a 2025 sixth-round pick to the Dallas Cowboys in exchange for a 2025 fifth-round pick and a 2026 seventh-round pick.
  • πŸ“… March 11, 2025: FB Reggie Gilliam re-signs with Buffalo to a one-year contract.
  • πŸ“… March 9, 2025: The Bills reach an agreement on a new deal with MVP QB Josh Allen that will keep him in Buffalo through 2030.
  • πŸ“… March 9, 2025: Buffalo releases DE Von Miller.
  • πŸ“… March 7, 2025: LB Terrel Bernard signs a four-year contract extension with Buffalo.
  • πŸ“… February 25, 2025: The Bills re-sign WR Khalil Shakir to a four-year contract extension.
  • πŸ“… January 26, 2025: Buffalo loses to the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Championship, 29-32.
  • πŸ“… January 19, 2025: The Bills beat the Ravens in the divisional playoff, 27-25.
  • πŸ“… January 12, 2025: Buffalo wins wild-card game against Denver, 31-7.
  • πŸ“… December 1, 2024: The Bills are the first team to clinch a playoff berth after beating the 49ers in week 13 and claiming their fifth consecutive AFC East Division title. 

Bookmark this page for more news updates on the Buffalo Bills throughout the season.

Key Contributors Towards Bills Playoff Chances

The Buffalo Bills will be led by MVP QB Josh Allen and, as long as he remains healthy and play up to his MVP standards, the Bills will remain a Super Bowl contender. Allen is also +550 to win MVP, which is tied with Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson for the best odds. After a strong 2024-25 season, the Bills' priority was to retain talent, and they did by re-signing RB Ty Johnson, FB Reggie Gilliam and S Damar Hamlin.
 

Buffalo also added key players to its roster, including WR Josh Palmer, WR Laviska Shenault, DE Joey Bosa and CB Dane Jackson, just to name a few. 

Where Can I Bet on the Bills to Make the Playoffs?

Currently, you can bet on the Bills' playoff chances at BetMGM NY, DraftKings NY, and any other NY sportsbook.

The Bills are now favored to miss the playoffs, but if you have faith in Buffalo to make the playoffs, most NY sportsbooks will offer these betting options.

Do the Bills Have A Chance To Make The Playoffs?

Yes, the Buffalo Bills have a chance of making the playoffs. The season has not yet started, and every NFL team has a clean slate and a chance to make the playoffs entering the season. 

Are the Bills Out of the Playoffs?

No, the Bills are not out of the playoffs as the season has not yet started. We expect the Bills to make the playoffs in the 2025-26 season. 

Where Do the Buffalo Bills Rank in the AFC Playoff Standings?

Buffalo is currently tied with the Kansas City Chiefs and Baltimore Ravens at +350 odds to win the conference. These are the best odds out of the AFC. 

Where Do the Buffalo Bills Rank in the AFC Wild Card Race?

The Bills are currently the favorite to win the AFC East, meaning they wouldn't need to earn a wild-card spot to make the playoffs.

  1. Buffalo Bills -270
  2. New England Patriots +600
  3. Miami Dolphins +600
  4. New York Jets +1400

Can the Buffalo Bills Get the No. 1 Seed?

Yes, the Bills could get the No. 1 seed in the AFC in the 2025-26 season. It will come down to how well the Bills do throughout the season and where their competitor stand. 

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Bills Postseason Outlook and Predictions

The Bills' offense is one of the best in the league, and Buffalo has worked to retain its key players in the offseason. Buffalo reached an agreement on a new deal with MVP QB Josh Allen that will keep him in Buffalo through 2030, and signed new weapons for Allen, including WR Josh Palmer and WR Laviska Shenault.

Buffalo also added to its offensive line, signing OL Kenrick Green. Defensively, the Bills made a major upgrade to their roster, signing DE Joey Bosa, DL Michael Hoecht, CB Dane Jackson, DT Larry Ogunjobi and S Darrick Forrest.

Buffalo Bills Playoffs FAQ

Author

Calli Varner

Calli has been an avid sports fan since she can remember. After earning her Bachelor’s degrees from the Walter Cronkite School of Journalism at Arizona State University, she combined her passion for journalism and sports. Calli has covered the NFL, NBA, MLB, NCAAF, college sports, and sports betting for several media outlets.

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