The Buffalo Bills (10-6) will visit the rival Miami Dolphins (11-5) in the final NFL regular season game Sunday (NBC, 8:20 p.m.) in a winner-take-all matchup to see who wins the AFC East Division crown. It has been an up-and-down ride for New York sportsbooks with the Bills this season.
Utilizing ChampsorChumps.us, EmpireStakes.com looked at how teams performed after clinching a playoff spot in the 18th and final week of the season since 2013. There have been 29 teams that have clinched a playoff spot on the last week in the last 10 seasons. (Note: Before 2021, the data refers to Week 17.)
Here are the make-or-break statistics you will find only at EmpireStakes.com, your source for NY sportsbook promos.
Performance of Teams Clinching in Last Week
Most Late Clinchers Don’t Fold
A solid 15 of 29 teams (51.7%) won a Wild Card Round game. It then drops considerably as only 2 of 29 (6.9%) win a Divisional Round game. Buffalo has appeared in this position once but lost at the Jacksonville Jaguars, 10-3, on New Year's Eve Day 2017. The Bills committed two turnovers and had just 263 yards of total offense in the loss.
No team ever has won a conference championship or the biggest prize of them all, a Super Bowl title. Last season, the Dolphins appeared in this position and lost to the Bills, 34-31, on the road back on Jan. 15 to finish the year at 9-8.
The Bills are three-point and -165 moneyline favorites over host Miami (+140) with at BetMGM New York. The game's over/under total is set at 50 points.